Thursday, August 31, 2006

About Huck...

Forget what I said about Mike Huckabee. Draft Fred Thompson in 2008!

(ht Glenn Reynolds -- I'm only repeating it here to spread the meme.)

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Anonymous Marty said...

I can see it now: "Law and Order - The Oval Office" on Turner for eternity...

9:40 AM  
Anonymous Chris said...

It's gonna be Mitt Romney.
And he'll carry Mass and CA.

10:29 AM  
Blogger Benjamin said...

Marty: Yeah right, you think Ted Turner would allow "in-kind contributions" of that sort?

Chris: I sincerely hope not. I might elaborate on my feelings in a later post, but let it suffice to say that I cannot in good conscience vote for a Mormon to be President of the United States, irrespective of the coincidence of our political stances.

I also don't think it'll be him. His Mormonism is something of a fanciful notion to many Americans (at least among those who know his name), but I believe it will become more of a liability as the Primary season begins in earnest. Even if that's me projecting, there are other factors: I also think that, in this day and age, a Northeasterner is unelectable, in both parties, but especially as a Republican candidate. The last yankee president was Kennedy (GHWB, while born in the NE, earned his chops in Texas, as did GWB). Plus he's got some Kerry-esque flip-flops to contend with on some issues very close to the hearts of his base.

I would be interested in hearing why you think he can carry CA, though.

If I had to make a rational guess at this point, I'd have to let out a big, sad sigh and say that 2008 might just be McCain's year. I've started making my peace with that, with the hope that I'm horribly wrong. I really don't think Giuliani has a chance, unless moderate democrats defect en masse from the "Lamont Left" and vote in Republican primaries.

10:48 AM  
Anonymous Chris said...

He can carry CA because he has charisma and star-like qualities. That helped elect Reagan and Arnold. Not to mention a good organization. His recent fundraising event out there surprised people when it raised $1 million.

I saw some recent poll that also showed his Mormonism would not alienate the religious right. I believe Mormon is a crazy faith, but I don't elect a politician based on faith, more on values, economic philosphy and leadership ability.

2:42 PM  
Blogger Benjamin said...

The "star-like" qualities of Reagan and Schwarzenegger were present because they were, in a word, stars. Mitt Romney is not. I would venture to guess that upwards of 50% of Americans outside the state of MA have never heard of him. While primary season will certainly change that, it will not make him a "star". And while I can offer no reasonable explanation (apart from some of those aforementioned "Kerry-esque flip-flops") for his election in Massachusetts, of all states, I certainly wouldn't put his charisma on the level of Reagan. Maybe Arnie, but then, I don't think he has too terribly much charisma to begin with -- for him, it's entirely his cachet as an actor which counts. And I'm too young to know if that was the case with Reagan initially.

2:24 PM  
Anonymous chris said...

Here's an interesting tidbit that I didn't realize until someone recently told me: the last Democratic governor of Massachusetts was Dukakis. Fifteen years ago!

I mean, what's up with that?!

4:48 PM  
Blogger Benjamin said...

See, that means his whole "Republican governor of the bluest of blue states" schtick really doesn't mean that much, since they've been doin' that for 15 years...

7:27 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Senator Thompson didn't seem to have a good conservative record on immigration follow the link

2:48 PM  
Blogger Benjamin said...

It might make me an apostate, but immigration is WAY down on my list. Plus, as the husband of a Mexican whose family has, in the past, enjoyed a... variety of levels of legal status, I probably have a weird view on the issue anyhow (don't get me wrong here -- enforcement first is a MUST to ANY immigration reform). And how does this set him apart negatively from any of the "serious" candidates, anyways? Or our current president, for that matter? As far as I know, Tancredo is really the only "Serious on Immigration" candidate, and he's just about as electable in 2008 as George W. Bush.

Also, please leave names! I like to think I have more than three commenters!

2:55 PM  

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